Demo · Sam Rivera is made up, and so is every number here. Buttons work for your visit only: with no real Robin behind it, edits stay queued.
dDashboard
TodayPagesShopShoppingMoneyHealthPhotosPhotographyTravelHobbiesClaudeRobin
Live
Robin · nightly digest Nov 4, 3:30 AM

Robin is right 69% of the time it can check

Its calls are holding steady over the last 30 days.

Enter sends, Shift+Enter adds a line. Robin answers from its memory within a minute or two.

Read today's brief →
ReviewAccuracyMemoryCost & runs
Predictions

Its confidence matches how often it turns out right.

0%0%25%25%50%50%75%75%100%100%Said 30–40%: came true 0% of 1Said 40–50%: came true 38% of 8Said 50–60%: came true 45% of 20Said 60–70%: came true 69% of 29Said 70–80%: came true 80% of 40Said 80–90%: came true 93% of 14Said 90–100%: came true 100% of 1

Across: what Robin said · Up: how often it came true

Its confidence matches how often it turns out right. Dots below the dashed line are bands where it was overconfident; bigger dots have more predictions behind them.

Calibration by confidence band
Robin saidCame truePredictions
30–40%0%1
40–50%38%8
50–60%45%20
60–70%69%29
70–80%80%40
80–90%93%14
90–100%100%1

Brier score by day · lower is better

0.2500.2010.152coin flip
Oct 6 0.162
Oct 7 0.162
Oct 8 0.158
Oct 9 0.154
Oct 10 0.152
Oct 11 0.152
Oct 12 0.153
Oct 13 0.165
Oct 14 0.165
Oct 15 0.172
Oct 16 0.172
Oct 17 0.175
Oct 18 0.175
Oct 19 0.168
Oct 20 0.168
Oct 21 0.167
Oct 22 0.172
Oct 23 0.177
Oct 24 0.184
Oct 25 0.175
Oct 26 0.178
Oct 27 0.180
Oct 28 0.173
Oct 29 0.181
Oct 30 0.184
Oct 31 0.178
Nov 1 0.182
Nov 2 0.184
Nov 3 0.184
Nov 4 0.184

Every prediction so far

78
came true
35
didn’t
6
couldn’t be checked
8
still open

5% of resolved predictions (6 of 119) could not be checked against data, so they don't count toward the score.

Due next

  • Priya joins the Thursday bird walk
    made Oct 25
    69% · due Oct 29
  • Nora books the monthly dinner by Sunday
    made Oct 28
    89% · due Nov 1
  • Priya joins the Tuesday bird walk
    made Oct 31
    64% · due Nov 3
  • Priya joins the Wednesday bird walk
    made Oct 30
    76% · due Nov 4
  • Sam shoots 150 or more frames by Nov 5
    made Nov 2
    70% · due Nov 5
  • Sam shoots 150 or more frames by Nov 7
    made Nov 1
    77% · due Nov 7
  • The Hurricanes win at home on Nov 7
    made Nov 4
    62% · due Nov 7
  • Bike miles pass 140 for the month by Nov 20
    made Nov 1
    74% · due Nov 20

Recently resolved

  • Jonah returns the borrowed bike pump by Oct 26
    resolved Nov 2
    53% right
  • Strain tops 14 on Saturday, Oct 31
    resolved Nov 1
    69% right
  • Nora books the monthly dinner by Tuesday
    resolved Oct 29
    84% unverifiable
  • Sleep averages 7 hours or more in the week ending Oct 28
    resolved Oct 29
    64% wrong
  • Nora books the monthly dinner by Sunday
    resolved Oct 28
    83% right
  • A sourdough bake happens by Thursday, Oct 22
    resolved Oct 25
    74% right
  • Strain tops 14 on Saturday, Oct 24
    resolved Oct 25
    71% right
  • Nora books the monthly dinner by Monday
    resolved Oct 24
    83% right
  • Thursday's design crit on Oct 18 gets moved
    resolved Oct 24
    52% wrong
  • Theo confirms the Saturday ride before Tuesday
    resolved Oct 24
    75% wrong
Corrections

You corrected Robin 6 times in 30 days

56
all-time
21
about how it works
35
about a fact
0
not applied yet
  • Sam is vegetarian every day → Vegetarian on weekdays only
    food.diet
    Oct 28
  • Jonah lives in Boylan Heights → Jonah lives in Oakwood
    friends.jonah
    Oct 24
  • Ride forecast sent at 6am → Send the ride forecast the night before
    behavior
    Oct 21
  • Long answers to quick questions → Two or three sentences unless asked for more
    behavior
    Oct 15
  • Bread recipe given in cups → Always give bread recipes in grams
    behavior
    Oct 11
  • Jonah lives in Boylan Heights → Jonah lives in Oakwood
    friends.jonah
    Oct 8
  • Ride forecast sent at 6am → Send the ride forecast the night before
    behavior
    Oct 5
  • Long answers to quick questions → Two or three sentences unless asked for more
    behavior
    Sep 29
Habits

4 habits confirmed, 5 forming

  • Rides the greenway on Saturday morningsgraduated
    91% sure · fitness · last seen Nov 2
  • Checks eBird the night before a weekend outinggraduated
    83% sure · birding · last seen Oct 31
  • Feeds the starter on Friday night before a weekend bakegraduated
    80% sure · food · last seen Nov 1
  • Carries the Nikon Z6III and 28mm f/2.8 on weekday lunch walksgraduated
    77% sure · photography · last seen Nov 3
  • Edits the week’s photos on Sunday eveningsoft
    64% sure · photography · last seen Nov 3
  • Plans the week’s meals on Sunday afternoonsoft
    60% sure · food · last seen Nov 3
  • Goes to bed later after a home hockey gamesoft
    56% sure · health · last seen Oct 29
  • Skips strength work the day after a long ridesoft
    52% sure · fitness · last seen Oct 30
  • Calls Jonah on the first Sunday of the monthsoft
    47% sure · social · last seen Oct 26
Recommendations

You act on 62% of its recommendations

  • 9 open
  • 23 acted
  • 9 declined
  • 5 expired
  • 4 held

Acted on, by domain

  • photography7 of 1070%
  • food5 of 771%
  • fitness4 of 667%
  • birding3 of 560%
  • travel2 of 450%
  • home2 of 540%